{"id":118052,"date":"2026-05-13T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cambrabcn.org\/?post_type=study&p=118052"},"modified":"2026-07-23T14:33:42","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T12:33:42","slug":"informe-trimestral-de-coyuntura-catalana-2026","status":"publish","type":"study","link":"https:\/\/cambrabcn.org\/es\/informe-trimestral-de-coyuntura-catalana-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Informe trimestral de coyuntura catalana | 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

El Informe de coyuntura catalana del tercer trimestre de 2026 actualiza las previsiones econ\u00f3micas anuales para 2026 y 2027 y estima la evoluci\u00f3n del PIB durante el segundo y tercer trimestre de 2026. La principal conclusi\u00f3n del informe es que la Cambra revisa al alza en tres d\u00e9cimas la previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento para 2026, hasta el 2,5%, y sit\u00faa la de 2027 en el 1,8%. Adem\u00e1s, revisa al alza en tres d\u00e9cimas la previsi\u00f3n de inflaci\u00f3n para 2026, hasta el 3,3%, y sit\u00faa la de 2027 en el 2,6%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Accede a la\u00a0nota de premsa<\/a><\/mark><\/strong> del III trimestre de 2026 y a la presentaci\u00f3n del Informe trimestral de coyuntura catalana<\/a><\/mark><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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PREVISIONES DE CRECIMIENTO<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

PIB anual. Catalu\u00f1a <\/strong>(Tasas de variaci\u00f3n interanuales, en %)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(p) Previsi\u00f3n Cambra y AQR
Fuente:<\/strong> Cambra de Barcelona y AQR-Lab<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

La Cambra revisa las previsiones de crecimiento para 2026 (2,5%) y para 2027 (1,8%)<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Los factores que explican la revisi\u00f3n al alza del crecimiento en 2026 son la revisi\u00f3n del PIB del primer trimestre de 2026, el impacto contenido del conflicto en Ir\u00e1n durante el segundo trimestre, las buenas previsiones del turismo y el dinamismo del empleo.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n
\n
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INFLACI\u00d3N<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Expectativas de precios de venta para el pr\u00f3ximo trimestre<\/strong> <\/strong>
(Saldo de respuestas entre ‘Al alza’ y ‘A la baja’)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fuente:<\/strong> Cambra i Idescat<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
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Una mayor proporci\u00f3n de empresas prev\u00e9 aumentar los precios durante este verano en comparaci\u00f3n con el verano pasado<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

LosLa inflaci\u00f3n se ha mantenido contenida durante el segundo trimestre de 2026, gracias en parte al plan de respuesta del Gobierno para mitigar los efectos de la guerra en Ir\u00e1n. Sin embargo, se prev\u00e9 que m\u00e1s empresas aumenten los precios este verano en comparaci\u00f3n con el verano anterior, especialmente en el sector de la hosteler\u00eda.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n
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SECTOR EXTERIOR<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Estimaci\u00f3n por componentes de las exportaciones. Catalu\u00f1a <\/strong>
(En % del total)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fuente:<\/strong> Contabilidad trimestral, Idescat y Datacomex<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
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Las exportaciones de servicios no tur\u00edsticos ganan peso en el sector exterior catal\u00e1n<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Las exportaciones de servicios no relacionados con el turismo ya representan el 10,5% de las exportaciones totales y se componen principalmente de sectores de alto valor a\u00f1adido, como los servicios t\u00e9cnicos y tecnol\u00f3gicos (TIC), los servicios profesionales y los servicios log\u00edsticos.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

AUTOMOCI\u00d3N<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Saldo comercial del sector de la automoci\u00f3n por regiones. Catalu\u00f1a<\/strong><\/strong>
(Millones de euros)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fuente:<\/strong> Datacomex Nota:<\/strong> Asia incluye China<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

El saldo comercial del sector de la automoci\u00f3n ha pasado de positivo a negativo en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os, ya que las importaciones han crecido m\u00e1s que las exportaciones<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

El saldo comercial de la automoci\u00f3n con Europa contin\u00faa siendo positivo, aunque se ha reducido de forma notable. Por el contrario, el d\u00e9ficit comercial con Asia sigue siendo negativo, y China concentra aproximadamente la mitad de este desequilibrio.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Sobre el Informe de coyuntura econ\u00f3mica catalana<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El Informe de coyuntura catalana es una publicaci\u00f3n trimestral elaborada por el Gabinete de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos de la Cambra de Comer\u00e7 de Barcelona y el Laboratorio de Transferencia de An\u00e1lisis Cuantitativo Regional de la Universidad de Barcelona (AQR-Lab), con el objetivo de realizar un seguimiento sistem\u00e1tico de la econom\u00eda catalana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El an\u00e1lisis recoge una serie de estad\u00edsticas, tanto propias como obtenidas de fuentes oficiales, que permiten medir los principales indicadores econ\u00f3micos como el empleo, las exportaciones, el turismo, la inflaci\u00f3n y la Encuesta de Clima Empresarial. Asimismo, incluye un apartado de previsiones de crecimiento del PIB tanto trimestral como anual. Los informes tambi\u00e9n cuentan con apartados monogr\u00e1ficos dedicados a indicadores concretos ligados a la actualidad econ\u00f3mica, con un an\u00e1lisis m\u00e1s detallado de su situaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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